December 19, 2007

Getting Beat By The Line - NBA & The SportsbettingChamp System

If you bet the Toronto Raptors to win against the Los Angeles Clippers last night you know what I mean about getting beat by the line. The line had Toronto as a 5.5 point favorite and they only won by 3. You know the feeling, that emptiness in the pit of your stomach.... Why didn't they get 3 more points? Why? Why?

The point spread is the most powerful tool that the sports odds maker has. It is their way of leveling the playing field, no wait, their way of tilting the odds in their favor. You can see it everyday when you look at the NBA line. They make it tough for sports bettors like us. That is why it is so important to look for value. Look for something that may have been over looked, like injuries to impact players.

This is especially true in the case of players who have day to day injuries or if a sudden illness strikes. If you can pick up on it just before game time you might be able to find value in some of the lines. This is because sometimes the odds makers don't react quickly to this and you can get your bets placed to take advantage of the situation.

When they are unsure if a player will or won't be in the line-up they have a tough decision to make. How should they reflect this in the line? They only have two options. The first is to place the line as if the player is in the line up and hope that they are actually on the court. In this case, if the player does not play, you can often find value, so pay close attention to this when you see it. There is money to be made with this strategy.

The second option occurs when the sports odds makers adjusts the line to reflect the player being out of the line-up. In this case, you need to watch the game time injury reports and see if the player will play. Just as in the previous case, you can often find value. Check to see if the odds maker has taken points off of a favored team and then take advantage of the lower spread.

Those are just two examples of how injuries can be used to find value in the sports odds line. There are other ways to look at injuries and how to place your bets based on them as well, but I don't want to get into them all right now. There are many other value areas to watch when you are deciding where to place your bets. You need to develop a checklist and make sure you are going over every one for each bet that you are making.

Make sure that you are sticking to a strategy when you do this as well. I use a low risk betting strategy to come up with my own picks. I also use The SportsBettingChamp System for low risk bets. You should make it part of your betting strategy too.

Ed Manning

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