January 31, 2008

In The NBA, One Night Changes Everything

What a difference a night makes. If you look at the home and home games that just happened you can see what I am talking about. There were two sets and both had the same results.

The home team won in all cases. The first games were between the Toronto Raptors and the Washington Wizards. The first game was tight as the Wizards won by only 4 and they had to take it to OT to get the win.

The next night they played in Toronto and the Raptors handed it to Washinton, punishing them by 19 points. What a difference a night makes! There wasn't any OT there.

The other home and home series was between the Chicago Bulls and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The first game was in Chicago and the Bulls won fairly easily and by 11 points. More then covering the spread.

Last night the Bulls went to Minnesota and, of course, the result was opposite. The Timberwolves pulled out the win by 16 point.

So, what can we learn from this? You can see that in both sets of games the home team won each time. While it was close in OT at Washington, they still pulled it out. I think in the 2nd games of the home and homes all of the travelling teams were a bit wore out and so you then saw bigger point differentials.

So I would watch for closer games in the first game of the home and home series and more points in the 2nd game. Take a look at the lines and see if they are reflecting the back to back travel for both teams.

In the NBA tonight, there are 4 games. It seems like all of the leagues top teams are in action and some of them against each other. Look for some good battles with the Celtics hosting the Mavericks and the Lakers visiting Detroit.

I am going to avoid all of the power-house matchups myself. I am looking at Cleveland going into Seattle. The line is at 3-1/2 against the Cavaliers, but they have been playing well, even without Anderson Varejo. Lebron James picked it up last game and should continue to do that. Against the lowly Supersonics, I look for the Cavaliers to cover tonight.

Bet To Win,

Ed Manning
The SportsBettingChamp System

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