May 13, 2008

Baseball Underdog System | MLB Betting Reviews

On the last few posts I've been reviewing the MLB Betting System that has been tagged the "Game 3 Win System". It's one of many free systems floating around out there and I am going to follow a few different baseball systems over the 2008 MLB season. We can see how they do and compare results over time to a bought system, like The SportsBettingChamp System. It's currently at 11-0, compared to the Game 3 Win System which was 4-6 going into last night's single game that had the correct indicators.

There was only one game last night that qualified for this MLB betting system. It had the Pirates playing the Braves, and it was Game 2 of a double header, with the Pirates being the team to bet on according to the Game 3 Win System. The Pirates got clobbered 8-1 so the system lost again. That now makes the record of this MLB system 4-7. Not so good, so I hope no one has been betting on this system.

Tonight there aren't any games that qualify for the system, so I am going to introduce another system that you see around as well and we can review it's results over the next few weeks as well.

It's one type of many MLB betting systems that bet on underdogs. For simplicity, I am just going to call it the MLB Underdog Tip System. I am calling it this, as it doesn't take into account home or away underdogs, which a lot of other baseball betting systems do. But, it does have a few indicators which "tip" you to place the bet.

So, obviously, the first thing is the team as to be an underdog. That means that the money line has to have them at +10 or more. If a team is at -105, it's not an underdog. Now, beware, the rest of this system will require a bit of homework. It's not as easy and straight forward as other MLB betting systems may be.

The first one will eliminate some possibilities. They have to be playing a divisional rival at home. Next, the team needs to be getting a fair amount of runs in its last 5-7 games. Don't bet on a team if they are only scoring 1-3 runs on the majority of their games.

After that, look at the teams performance over their last 10 games. If it is positive then keep going with them. If they have lost more then they have won in the last 10 then eliminate them as well. This baseball betting system tries hard to get rid of teams that aren't playing well.

Finally, and least importantly to me, as it can be hard to get this information, try to find the pitchers history against our team. If it is bad, then that is good for us. That's all of the indicators that this system uses. If a team you are looking at hits 2 or more of the indicators then this MLB betting system says you should be betting.

So, tonight, there are 2 teams that qualify. The first team is the Texas Rangers, who are hosting the Seattle Mariners. The Rangers qualify as they are an MLB underdog who's at home against a division rival. They also have had pretty good offensive performance over their past few games, scoring 34 runs in their last 5 games. That's an average of more then 5, so that indicator is positive.

Two required indicators have now been hit and the bet is a go according to the baseball Underdog Tip System. It even hits a third indicator, as the Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10. And finally, it hits indicator number four, as Felix Hernandez is pitching and he had a rough outing last game against the Rangers. I think I might even bet this one!!

The next game has the Tampa Bay Devil Rays at home, playing the NY Yankees. Tampa and New York are divisional rivals, bamm, one indicator! Next, Tampa has averaged over 5 runs per game in their last five. Indicator number two has been hit and that makes this bet a go according to the MLB Underdog Tip System. And just the same as the Rangers game, Tampa hits indicator 3, they are 6-4 over the last 10. But, they don't hit indicator number 4, as they are facing Chien-Ming Wang, who's won 6 of his last 7 starts against Tampa. That will raise the betting risk factor.

Well, that's enough for today. Look at both of these MLB betting systems and see what you think. For me, the MLB Underdog Tip System seems to be more thought out then the Game 3 Win System. We will see if it is over the next few weeks in the MLB season.

cheers,

Ed Manning

The SportsBettingChamp System

2 comments:

hawkmannix said...

See that Houston against the Cubs on 5/19 falls into the underdog system. It hits 3 out of 4[lilly not much of a history against houston]. The 2 games you posted were winners- have any other games fallen into that criteria?

Anonymous said...

Just did the math- 53 wins & 14 losses. Only counting the criteria once per series even if it applies to multiple games. Usually, after one win with the system in a series it no longer applies unless the home dog wins game one then is a dog in game 3. The numbers of 53-14 come 4/15 to 5/18 and may not be totally accurate (did it at 3am).
hawkmannix@yahoo.com

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